Manchester United U21 1-3 Manchester City U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — INGPL2, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
29%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
3.94
Over 2.5
57%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.24
No
44%
3.59
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
15%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
44%
+0.8pp
26%
Draw
22%
+4.2pp
29%
Away Win
34%
-5.0pp
43%
Under 2.5
22%
+21.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
78%
-21.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
76%
-20.3pp
44%
BTTS No
24%
+20.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manchester United U21 EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Manchester City U21 EU Bookmakers 38%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -21%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
284 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 429 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 10.0
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Manchester United U21
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Manchester City U21
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.35 xG 1.77
30% Ball Possession 70%
4 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 11
202 Passes 556
75% Pass Accuracy 90%
7 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.02.2024 Manchester United U21 Manchester United U21 2-1 HT 1-0 Manchester City U21 Manchester City U21 INGPL2-1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Manchester United U21
1-3
AWAY Manchester City U21
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
484 Passes 322
85% Pass Accuracy 82%
15 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Manchester United U21 vs Manchester City U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manchester City U21 got the better of Manchester United U21 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Manchester United U21 at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Manchester United U21 had 59% of the ball to Manchester City U21's 41%, shots finished 12-8.

What was the final score of Manchester United U21 vs Manchester City U21?

Manchester United U21 1-3 Manchester City U21 in the INGPL2 on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manchester United U21 vs Manchester City U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Manchester United U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Manchester United U21 45%, draw 26%, Manchester City U21 29%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Manchester United U21) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Manchester United U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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