Albirex Niigata (K) 0-0 Cerezo Osaka (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.9
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.48
Over 2.5
43%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.19
No
51%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
49%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
3%
1/X
9%
X/1
4%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
11%
2/2
14%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
48%
-2.2pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.4pp
27%
Away Win
23%
+3.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
64%
-7.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
36%
+7.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
42%
+7.5pp
51%
BTTS No
58%
-7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Albirex Niigata (K) EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Cerezo Osaka (K) EU Bookmakers 27%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.00/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/0.67
-41% / +148% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / +77%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
310 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.5 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Albirex Niigata (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Cerezo Osaka (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
24.03.2024 Albirex Niigata (K) Albirex Niigata (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 Cerezo Osaka (K) Cerezo Osaka (K) JWEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Albirex Niigata (K)
0-0
AWAY Cerezo Osaka (K)
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Albirex Niigata (K) vs Cerezo Osaka (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Albirex Niigata (K) and Cerezo Osaka (K) played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Albirex Niigata (K) at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Albirex Niigata (K) had 55% of the ball to Cerezo Osaka (K)'s 45%, shots finished 12-15.

What was the final score of Albirex Niigata (K) vs Cerezo Osaka (K)?

Albirex Niigata (K) 0-0 Cerezo Osaka (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Albirex Niigata (K) vs Cerezo Osaka (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Albirex Niigata (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Albirex Niigata (K) 46%, draw 27%, Cerezo Osaka (K) 27%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Albirex Niigata (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Albirex Niigata (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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