21/09/2024
·
21:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
0-0
Academica vs Torreense Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
11%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
24%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
27%
37%
Draw
27%
34%
Away Win
46%
56%
Under 2.5
54%
44%
Over 2.5
46%
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
50%
BTTS No
50%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Academica v Torreense — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Academica
EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY
Torreense
EU Bookmakers 49%
+29% /
+29%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-59% /
-59%
1.66/1.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.57/2.15
+30%
/
+50%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-65%
/
-43%
47%
Ball Possession
53%
11
Total Shots
14
4
Shots on Target
5
5
Corners
5
237 · 70%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
296 · 75%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
0.4
Academica 0-1 Torreense — Actual Match Statistics
RESULT
Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME
Academica
0-1
AWAY
Torreense
48%
Ball Possession
52%
9
Total Shots
11
2
Shots on Target
7
6
Corners
8
4
Yellow Cards
4
POST-MATCH
Academica vs Torreense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Torreense squeezed past Academica 1-0 away from home.
We called this one close before kick-off — 29% / 37% / 34% — and on the day Torreense made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.
On the day, Academica had 48% of the ball to Torreense's 52%, shots finished 9-11.
What was the final score of Academica vs Torreense?
Academica 0-1 Torreense in the Portugal - Cup on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Academica vs Torreense?
Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Academica 29%, draw 37%, Torreense 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Draw)
✓ Under 2.5
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21 Sep 2024