Academica 0-1 Torreense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Cup, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.29
Draw
37%
3.28
Away
34%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
11%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
24%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
27%
+1.6pp
37%
Draw
27%
+10.0pp
34%
Away Win
46%
-11.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.5pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Academica EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Torreense EU Bookmakers 49%
+29% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -59% / -59%
1.66/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.57/2.15
+30% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -65% / -43%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
237 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Academica
0-1
AWAY Torreense
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Academica vs Torreense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torreense squeezed past Academica 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 29% / 37% / 34% — and on the day Torreense made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Academica had 48% of the ball to Torreense's 52%, shots finished 9-11.

What was the final score of Academica vs Torreense?

Academica 0-1 Torreense in the Portugal - Cup on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Academica vs Torreense?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Academica 29%, draw 37%, Torreense 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5
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