Vianense 1-3 Portimonense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Cup, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
5.4
Draw
27%
4.19
Away
53%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.1
Over 2.5
49%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
37%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
15%
+5.0pp
26%
Draw
21%
+5.8pp
53%
Away Win
64%
-10.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.6pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vianense EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Portimonense EU Bookmakers 69%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -35% / -35%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -52%
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
202 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vianense
1-3
AWAY Portimonense
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Vianense vs Portimonense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portimonense beat Vianense 3-1 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Portimonense as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Vianense had 42% of the ball to Portimonense's 58%, shots finished 13-14.

What was the final score of Vianense vs Portimonense?

Vianense 1-3 Portimonense in the Portugal - Cup on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vianense vs Portimonense?

Before kick-off our model rated an Portimonense win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Vianense 20%, draw 26%, Portimonense 53%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Portimonense) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Portimonense) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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