Pevidem 2-1 Maritimo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Cup, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
5.91
Draw
33%
4.34
Away
50%
1.41
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
2.03
Over 2.5
42%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.95
No
58%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
12%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
30%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
14%
+3.8pp
33%
Draw
20%
+13.0pp
50%
Away Win
66%
-16.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
45%
+12.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
55%
-12.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.1pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pevidem EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Maritimo EU Bookmakers 71%
-36% / -36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.80/0.94
+6% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -30%
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
255 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pevidem
2-1
AWAY Maritimo
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 24
4 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 12
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Pevidem vs Maritimo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pevidem squeezed past Maritimo 2-1.

Our pre-match lean was Maritimo at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Pevidem had 40% of the ball to Maritimo's 60%, shots finished 7-24.

What was the final score of Pevidem vs Maritimo?

Pevidem 2-1 Maritimo in the Portugal - Cup on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pevidem vs Maritimo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Maritimo win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Pevidem 18%, draw 33%, Maritimo 50%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Maritimo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POK More Portugal - Cup
21 Sep 2024
13:00 Vianense vs Portimonense Analysis →
13:00 Anadia vs Rabo Peixe Analysis →
17:00 Ol. Montijo vs Mafra Analysis →
18:00 Tirsense vs Vieira SC Analysis →
18:15 Camacha vs Uniao De Leiria Analysis →
21:30 Academica vs Torreense Analysis →