Pevidem vs Maritimo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Pevidem v Maritimo — Team-Based Signals
Pevidem 2-1 Maritimo — Actual Match Statistics
Pevidem shaded a tight game against Maritimo 2-1.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Maritimo at 70% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 52% and both teams to score at 48%, coin-flips both.
On the day, Pevidem had 40% of the ball to Maritimo's 60%, shots finished 7-24.
Pevidem vs Maritimo Result & Final Score
Pevidem 2 - 1 Maritimo in the Portugal - Cup on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Pevidem vs Maritimo Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Maritimo win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Pevidem 11%, draw 19%, Maritimo 70%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Maritimo), BTTS No went the other way.