Ol. Montijo 1-2 Mafra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Cup, 21 Sep 2024

Ol. Montijo
1-2
Mafra
📅21/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Portugal - Cup – 2025/2026

Ol. Montijo vs Mafra Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
14%
12.23
Draw
19%
5.71
Away
67%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.59
Over 2.5
52%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.09
No
61%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
4%
X/2
23%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
38%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
14%
Home Win
6%
+8.2pp
19%
Draw
15%
+4.6pp
67%
Away Win
80%
-12.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
35%
+13.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
65%
-13.3pp
39%
BTTS Yes
44%
-4.6pp
61%
BTTS No
56%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ol. Montijo v Mafra — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ol. Montijo EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Mafra EU Bookmakers 84%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
0.00/7.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
-100% / -69% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -56% / –
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
257 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 490 · 85%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

Ol. Montijo 1-2 Mafra — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ol. Montijo
1-2
AWAY Mafra
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ol. Montijo vs Mafra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mafra nicked a narrow win over Ol. Montijo 2-1 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Mafra as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ol. Montijo had 49% of the ball to Mafra's 51%, shots finished 9-20.

What was the final score of Ol. Montijo vs Mafra?

Ol. Montijo 1-2 Mafra in the Portugal - Cup on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ol. Montijo vs Mafra?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mafra win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Ol. Montijo 14%, draw 19%, Mafra 67%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mafra), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mafra) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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