Tianjin Teda 1-0 Shenzhen FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 21 Sep 2025

📅21/09/2025 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.9
Draw
18%
3.54
Away
23%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.0
Over 2.5
61%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.5
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
27%
3.06
6+ Goals
11%
10.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
2.56
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.0
X/1
16%
4.62
X/2
7%
7.64
X/X
7%
5.07
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
22.35
2/2
12%
5.55
2/X
5%
13.9
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.35 — our 11% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
49%
+9.8pp
18%
Draw
25%
-7.3pp
23%
Away Win
26%
-2.4pp
39%
Under 2.5
46%
-7.7pp
61%
Over 2.5
54%
+7.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.7pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tianjin Teda EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Shenzhen FC EU Bookmakers 29%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
1.69/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.78
-4% / +132% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -55% / -27%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
357 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 80%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.7
18.4 Crosses 15.9
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tianjin Teda
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Shenzhen FC
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.92 xG 1.22
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
361 Passes 285
83% Pass Accuracy 76%
22 Box Touches 14
23 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.05.2025 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda ÇİNSL
29.06.2024 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda 3-0 HT 1-0 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC ÇİNSL
10.03.2024 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC 0-4 HT 0-1 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda ÇİNSL
21.07.2023 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda 3-3 HT 0-1 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC ÇİNSL
26.04.2023 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC 0-2 HT 0-2 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda ÇİN
29.06.2022 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC 2-3 HT 2-1 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tianjin Teda
1-0
AWAY Shenzhen FC
1.30 xG 0.57
62% Ball Possession 38%
11 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 6
475 Passes 259
85% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 26
15 Crosses 22
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Tianjin Teda vs Shenzhen FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tianjin Teda squeezed past Shenzhen FC 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Tianjin Teda as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Tianjin Teda had 62% of the ball to Shenzhen FC's 38%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 1.30 to 0.57.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tianjin Teda had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Tianjin Teda and 1.00 for Shenzhen FC.

What was the final score of Tianjin Teda vs Shenzhen FC?

Tianjin Teda 1-0 Shenzhen FC in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tianjin Teda vs Shenzhen FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tianjin Teda win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Tianjin Teda 59%, draw 18%, Shenzhen FC 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tianjin Teda) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tianjin Teda) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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