Beijing Guoan 2-3 Shanghai Port — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 21 Sep 2025

📅21/09/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.18
Draw
30%
3.72
Away
38%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.96
Over 2.5
64%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
1.33
No
35%
3.05
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
6.79
2-3 Goals
32%
2.14
4-5 Goals
34%
2.31
6+ Goals
12%
4.27
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.03
1/2
5%
21.95
1/X
10%
12.15
X/1
13%
5.9
X/2 EV+ ✓
20%
6.61
X/X
14%
6.73
2/1
5%
19.8
2/2
12%
3.6
2/X
6%
12.35
Value flag · X/2 at 6.61 — our 20% vs market 11.3%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
42%
-9.7pp
30%
Draw
23%
+7.0pp
38%
Away Win
35%
+2.6pp
36%
Under 2.5
30%
+5.5pp
64%
Over 2.5
70%
-5.5pp
65%
BTTS Yes
71%
-6.3pp
35%
BTTS No
29%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Beijing Guoan EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Shanghai Port EU Bookmakers 39%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.02/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.37
-20% / -42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -4%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
351 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 80%
18.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.9
19.7 Crosses 22.5
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Beijing Guoan
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Shanghai Port
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.45 xG 2.14
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
272 Passes 405
74% Pass Accuracy 84%
14 Box Touches 34
11 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.05.2025 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port 1-2 HT 1-1 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİNSL
12.07.2024 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port 5-1 HT 3-1 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİNSL
05.04.2024 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 2-2 HT 1-1 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port ÇİN
20.10.2023 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port 1-2 HT 0-1 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİN
29.06.2023 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 1-2 HT 0-1 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port ÇİNSL
27.12.2022 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 0-3 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Beijing Guoan
2-3
AWAY Shanghai Port
1.65 xG 2.28
67% Ball Possession 33%
17 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 1
491 Passes 217
84% Pass Accuracy 75%
28 Box Touches 29
23 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Beijing Guoan vs Shanghai Port
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shanghai Port squeezed past Beijing Guoan 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (32% / 30% / 38%) promised a tight game; Shanghai Port found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (65%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Beijing Guoan had 67% of the ball to Shanghai Port's 33%, shots finished 17-15, expected goals 1.65 to 2.28.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shanghai Port led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Beijing Guoan and 2.33 for Shanghai Port.

What was the final score of Beijing Guoan vs Shanghai Port?

Beijing Guoan 2-3 Shanghai Port in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Beijing Guoan vs Shanghai Port?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shanghai Port win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Beijing Guoan 32%, draw 30%, Shanghai Port 38%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shanghai Port), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Shanghai Port) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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