Shanghai Shenhua 1-1 Chengdu Qianbao — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 21 Sep 2025

📅21/09/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.47
Draw
18%
3.35
Away
42%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.15
Over 2.5
62%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.55
No
38%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.94
2-3 Goals
37%
1.8
4-5 Goals
28%
2.85
6+ Goals
10%
8.58
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.7
1/2
8%
24.5
1/X
7%
12.3
X/1
13%
6.0
X/2
17%
5.74
X/X
5%
5.14
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
25.5
2/2
18%
3.47
2/X
5%
12.2
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.5 — our 9% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
37%
+3.2pp
18%
Draw
26%
-8.7pp
42%
Away Win
37%
+5.5pp
38%
Under 2.5
43%
-5.2pp
62%
Over 2.5
57%
+5.2pp
62%
BTTS Yes
60%
+1.1pp
38%
BTTS No
40%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shanghai Shenhua EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Chengdu Qianbao EU Bookmakers 40%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.39/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/1.58
-36% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +85% / +1%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
298 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 81%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.1
15.4 Crosses 22.1
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shanghai Shenhua
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Chengdu Qianbao
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.92 xG 1.54
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
268 Passes 348
75% Pass Accuracy 81%
17 Box Touches 25
15 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 3
02.05.2025 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 1-0 HT 1-0 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua ÇİNSL
02.11.2024 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 1-2 HT 1-1 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua ÇİNSL
16.06.2024 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua 1-1 HT 1-1 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİNSL
26.08.2023 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua 1-1 HT 1-1 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİNSL
23.05.2023 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 2-1 HT 1-1 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua ÇİN
12.11.2022 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 3-2 HT 1-2 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shanghai Shenhua
1-1
AWAY Chengdu Qianbao
1.30 xG 2.40
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 19
1 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 10
288 Passes 394
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Box Touches 31
19 Crosses 31
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Shanghai Shenhua vs Chengdu Qianbao
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shanghai Shenhua and Chengdu Qianbao shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 18% / 42% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, both teams to score (62%) landed while over 2.5 goals (62%) missed.

On the day, Shanghai Shenhua had 43% of the ball to Chengdu Qianbao's 57%, shots finished 11-19, expected goals 1.30 to 2.40.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chengdu Qianbao led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Shanghai Shenhua and 1.50 for Chengdu Qianbao.

What was the final score of Shanghai Shenhua vs Chengdu Qianbao?

Shanghai Shenhua 1-1 Chengdu Qianbao in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shanghai Shenhua vs Chengdu Qianbao?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chengdu Qianbao win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Shanghai Shenhua 40%, draw 18%, Chengdu Qianbao 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Chengdu Qianbao), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chengdu Qianbao) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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