Lugo 2-1 Racing Ferrol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 21 Sep 2025

📅21/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
32%
2.94
Away
35%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.52
Over 2.5
37%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.22
2-3 Goals
40%
1.71
4-5 Goals
16%
4.78
6+ Goals
8%
29.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
14%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-0.8pp
32%
Draw
30%
+1.9pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-1.1pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+1.3pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-1.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.0pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lugo EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Racing Ferrol EU Bookmakers 40%
-10% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +4%
0.78/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/0.81
-33% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +28%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
237 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lugo
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Racing Ferrol
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
19 Total Shots 3
8 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 2
30.07.2017 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol 0-3 HT 0-1 Lugo Lugo HAZ
POST-MATCH Lugo vs Racing Ferrol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lugo edged past Racing Ferrol 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 32% / 35% — and on the day Lugo made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Lugo vs Racing Ferrol?

Lugo 2-1 Racing Ferrol in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lugo vs Racing Ferrol?

Before kick-off our model rated an Racing Ferrol win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Lugo 33%, draw 32%, Racing Ferrol 35%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Racing Ferrol) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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