Osasuna II 1-0 Real Madrid II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 21 Sep 2025

📅21/09/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.8
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
37%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.68
Over 2.5
51%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.82
No
43%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.65
2-3 Goals
37%
1.69
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
27%
3.88
6+ Goals
9%
18.35
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.88 — our 27% vs market 18.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
11%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+3.7pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.3pp
37%
Away Win
39%
-2.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
56%
-7.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
44%
+7.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
51%
+6.4pp
43%
BTTS No
49%
-6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Osasuna II EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Madrid II EU Bookmakers 43%
-6% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -4%
0.98/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.42
-8% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / -30%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
328 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Osasuna II
1-0
AWAY Real Madrid II
31% Ball Possession 69%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
0 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Osasuna II vs Real Madrid II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Osasuna II edged past Real Madrid II 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 27% / 37% — and on the day Osasuna II made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Osasuna II had 31% of the ball to Real Madrid II's 69%, shots finished 11-11.

What was the final score of Osasuna II vs Real Madrid II?

Osasuna II 1-0 Real Madrid II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Osasuna II vs Real Madrid II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Real Madrid II win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Osasuna II 36%, draw 27%, Real Madrid II 37%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Real Madrid II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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