Talavera CF 1-1 Barakaldo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 21 Sep 2025

Talavera CF
1-1 HT 1-0
Barakaldo
📅21/09/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division B – 2025/2026

Talavera CF vs Barakaldo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.38
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
30%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.6
Over 2.5
42%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.95
No
54%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.38
2-3 Goals
39%
1.7
4-5 Goals
18%
4.37
6+ Goals
9%
23.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
38%
+2.7pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.5pp
30%
Away Win
32%
-2.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.5pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Talavera CF v Barakaldo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Talavera CF EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Barakaldo EU Bookmakers 36%
-3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +6%
1.26/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.11
-1% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
281 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
POST-MATCH Talavera CF vs Barakaldo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Talavera CF and Barakaldo couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Talavera CF at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Talavera CF vs Barakaldo?

Talavera CF 1-1 Barakaldo in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Talavera CF vs Barakaldo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Talavera CF win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Talavera CF 41%, draw 29%, Barakaldo 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Talavera CF), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Talavera CF) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS3 More Spain - 2nd Division B
21 Sep 2025
13:00 Osasuna II vs Real Madrid II Analysis →
13:00 Tenerife vs Ourense CF Analysis →
13:00 Tarazona vs Marbella Analysis →
17:00 Lugo vs Racing Ferrol Analysis →
17:00 Celta Vigo II vs Arenas de Getxo Analysis →
17:00 Eldense vs Sevilla II Analysis →