Tenerife 3-0 Ourense CF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 21 Sep 2025

Tenerife
3-0 HT 1-0
Ourense CF
📅21/09/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division B – 2025/2026

Tenerife vs Ourense CF Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.37
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
12%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.82
Over 2.5
46%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.27
No
59%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.93
2-3 Goals
40%
1.71
4-5 Goals
20%
3.52
6+ Goals
9%
14.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.93 — our 31% vs market 26.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
47%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
4%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
68%
-1.7pp
21%
Draw
21%
+0.2pp
12%
Away Win
11%
+1.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
40%
+1.3pp
59%
BTTS No
60%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Tenerife v Ourense CF — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tenerife EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Ourense CF EU Bookmakers 14%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
3.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/1.10
+69% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +51%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
389 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
0.0 Yellow Cards 2.2

Tenerife 3-0 Ourense CF — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tenerife
3-0
AWAY Ourense CF
65% Ball Possession 35%
12 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Tenerife vs Ourense CF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tenerife ran out comfortable winners over Ourense CF 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Tenerife as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Tenerife had 65% of the ball to Ourense CF's 35%, shots finished 12-5.

What was the final score of Tenerife vs Ourense CF?

Tenerife 3-0 Ourense CF in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tenerife vs Ourense CF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tenerife win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Tenerife 67%, draw 21%, Ourense CF 12%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tenerife), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tenerife) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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