Amorebieta vs Beasain Prediction — Model Probabilities
Amorebieta v Beasain — Team-Based Signals
Amorebieta 2-1 Beasain — Actual Match Statistics
Amorebieta found just enough to beat Beasain 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Amorebieta as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 47% and both teams to score at 54%, coin-flips both. At 1.74 (~57%), the BTTS-no price was shorter than our number — the market leaned harder than we did.
By the numbers, Amorebieta had 43% of the ball to Beasain's 57%, shots finished 8-10.
Amorebieta vs Beasain Result & Final Score
Amorebieta 2-1 Beasain in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Amorebieta vs Beasain Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Amorebieta win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Amorebieta 48%, draw 26%, Beasain 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Amorebieta), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.