Bayer Leverkusen 1-1 Mönchengladbach — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 21 Sep 2025

Bayer Leverkusen
1 - 1 HT 0 - 0
Mönchengladbach
📅21/09/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Germany - Bundesliga – 2025/2026

Bayer Leverkusen vs Mönchengladbach Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
65%
1.53
Draw
19%
4.08
Away
16%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under
38%
2.29
Over
62%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.67
No
45%
2.07
Total Goals
0-1
18%
4.38
2-3
42%
1.86
4-5
29%
2.77
6+
11%
7.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1.86
1/2
1%
34.5
1/X
5%
15.1
X/1
19%
4.1
X/2
6%
11.35
X/X
11%
6.37
2/1 ✗
4%
19.9
2/2
8%
8.69
2/X
4%
16.9
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.9 — our 4% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Bayer Leverkusen v Mönchengladbach — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Bayer Leverkusen The Market 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Mönchengladbach The Market 21%
Weak Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.93 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.99
0.97 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 2.25
Weak Attack Strength Average
Average Defense Strength Weak
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
442 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 76%
32 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20
23 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2

Bayer Leverkusen vs Mönchengladbach Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bayer Leverkusen
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Mönchengladbach
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.35 xG 1.02
56% Ball Possession 44%
19 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
570 Passes 436
87% Pass Accuracy 85%
37 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
18.01.2025 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 3-1 HT 1-0 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach AL1
23.08.2024 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach 2-3 HT 0-2 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen AL1
27.01.2024 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 0-0 HT 0-0 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach AL1
26.08.2023 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach 0-3 HT 0-2 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen AL1
21.05.2023 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 2-2 HT 2-0 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach AL1
22.01.2023 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach 2-3 HT 0-2 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen AL1

Bayer Leverkusen 1-1 Mönchengladbach — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bayer Leverkusen
1 - 1
AWAY Mönchengladbach
1.46 xG 0.81
62% Ball Possession 38%
13 Total Shots 13
9 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 4
606 Passes 346
90% Pass Accuracy 84%
32 Box Touches 24
9 Crosses 12
5 Yellow Cards 5
REVIEW Bayer Leverkusen vs Mönchengladbach
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Bayer Leverkusen and Mönchengladbach traded blows to a 1-1 standstill. Half-time: 0-0.

File this under upsets: a 65% lean on Bayer Leverkusen went begging. That's football — and exactly why we publish probabilities, not promises. On goals, both teams to score (55%) landed while over 2.5 goals (62%) missed.

The match data tells the story: possession split 62% to 38% in Bayer Leverkusen's favour, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 1.46 to 0.81.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bayer Leverkusen had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.33 a game for Bayer Leverkusen against 1.17 for Mönchengladbach.

Bayer Leverkusen vs Mönchengladbach Result & Final Score

Bayer Leverkusen 1 - 1 Mönchengladbach in the Germany - Bundesliga on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Bayer Leverkusen vs Mönchengladbach Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Bayer Leverkusen win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Bayer Leverkusen 65%, draw 20%, Mönchengladbach 16%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bayer Leverkusen), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bayer Leverkusen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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