Atletico Tucuman 2-0 River Plate — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 21 Sep 2025

📅21/09/2025 · 🕒03:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
40%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.71
Over 2.5
44%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.73
2-3 Goals
42%
1.72
4-5 Goals
17%
3.92
6+ Goals
10%
18.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.73 — our 31% vs market 29.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.15
1/2
7%
30.0
1/X
8%
12.75
X/1
10%
5.89
X/2
15%
5.44
X/X
14%
4.05
2/1
8%
32.0
2/2
18%
3.66
2/X
5%
12.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-0.9pp
27%
Draw
30%
-2.6pp
40%
Away Win
36%
+3.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
55%
+1.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
45%
-1.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.4pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Tucuman EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY River Plate EU Bookmakers 40%
+11% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +9%
1.42/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/0.99
+34% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / +10%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
272 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 75%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
19.9 Crosses 16.4
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Tucuman
0W-3D-3L
AWAY River Plate
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.80 xG 2.23
32% Ball Possession 68%
8 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 8
160 Passes 462
61% Pass Accuracy 83%
15 Box Touches 32
14 Crosses 32
3 Yellow Cards 2
10.03.2025 River Plate River Plate 1-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman ARJ
14.09.2024 River Plate River Plate 4-1 HT 2-1 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman ARJ
15.02.2024 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 0-0 HT 0-0 River Plate River Plate ARJ
22.09.2023 River Plate River Plate 1-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman ARJ
29.04.2023 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 1-1 HT 1-0 River Plate River Plate ARJ
12.06.2022 River Plate River Plate 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Tucuman
2-0
AWAY River Plate
1.90 xG 0.84
35% Ball Possession 65%
17 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 3
181 Passes 399
69% Pass Accuracy 83%
24 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Atletico Tucuman vs River Plate
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Tucuman saw off River Plate 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (33% / 27% / 40%) promised a tight game; Atletico Tucuman found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Atletico Tucuman had 35% of the ball to River Plate's 65%, shots finished 17-17, expected goals 1.90 to 0.84.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, River Plate led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Atletico Tucuman and 1.17 for River Plate.

What was the final score of Atletico Tucuman vs River Plate?

Atletico Tucuman 2-0 River Plate in the Argentina - Premier League on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Tucuman vs River Plate?

Before kick-off our model rated an River Plate win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Atletico Tucuman 33%, draw 27%, River Plate 40%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (River Plate) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (River Plate) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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