Independiente vs San Lorenzo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Independiente v San Lorenzo — Team-Based Signals
Independiente vs San Lorenzo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Independiente
ARJ
1-1
HT 0-1
Independiente
ARJ
1-1
HT 0-0
San Lorenzo
ARJ
2-1
HT 1-0
San Lorenzo
ARJ
Independiente 1-1 San Lorenzo — Actual Match Statistics
Independiente and San Lorenzo couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.
We called this one close before kick-off — 41% / 38% / 21% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (71%) landed while no to both teams scoring (66%) missed.
On the day, Independiente had 61% of the ball to San Lorenzo's 39%, shots finished 4-6, expected goals 0.11 to 0.60.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Independiente had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Independiente and 0.67 for San Lorenzo.
What was the final score of Independiente vs San Lorenzo?
Independiente 1-1 San Lorenzo in the Argentina - Premier League on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Independiente vs San Lorenzo?
Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Independiente 41%, draw 38%, San Lorenzo 21%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Independiente), BTTS No went the other way.