Cheonan City 2-2 Hwaseong — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 21 Sep 2025

📅21/09/2025 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.33
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
32%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.75
Over 2.5
50%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.81
2-3 Goals
39%
1.7
4-5 Goals
23%
3.65
6+ Goals
9%
16.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
39%
+0.2pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.7pp
32%
Away Win
33%
-0.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
53%
-3.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
47%
+3.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.6pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cheonan City EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Hwaseong EU Bookmakers 37%
-31% / -31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.63/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.14
+23% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
316 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.7 Crosses 10.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cheonan City
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Hwaseong
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
421 Passes 254
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
12.07.2025 Cheonan City Cheonan City 2-3 HT 0-1 Hwaseong Hwaseong GKOR2
04.05.2025 Hwaseong Hwaseong 2-1 HT 1-1 Cheonan City Cheonan City GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cheonan City
2-2
AWAY Hwaseong
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
242 Passes 399
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
9 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cheonan City vs Hwaseong
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cheonan City and Hwaseong couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Cheonan City had 40% of the ball to Hwaseong's 60%, shots finished 11-11.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Hwaseong led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Cheonan City and 2.50 for Hwaseong.

What was the final score of Cheonan City vs Hwaseong?

Cheonan City 2-2 Hwaseong in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cheonan City vs Hwaseong?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cheonan City win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Cheonan City 39%, draw 28%, Hwaseong 32%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cheonan City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cheonan City) ✓ BTTS Yes
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