Busan I Park 1-1 Jeonnam Dragons — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 21 Sep 2025

📅21/09/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.9
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.94
2-3 Goals
40%
1.71
4-5 Goals
20%
3.5
6+ Goals
9%
14.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.94 — our 31% vs market 26.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
11%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
48%
-5.7pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.4pp
30%
Away Win
25%
+4.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.4pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Busan I Park EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Jeonnam Dragons EU Bookmakers 29%
-12% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +4%
1.67/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.25
-16% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
324 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 72%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
18.4 Crosses 16.1
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Busan I Park
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Jeonnam Dragons
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
52% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
448 Passes 354
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
24 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
15.06.2025 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons 0-1 HT 0-1 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
05.04.2025 Busan I Park Busan I Park 0-1 HT 0-1 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons GKOR2
21.11.2024 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons 0-0 HT 0-0 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
15.09.2024 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons 1-2 HT 1-0 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
20.07.2024 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons 2-3 HT 0-2 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
07.04.2024 Busan I Park Busan I Park 0-1 HT 0-0 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Busan I Park
1-1
AWAY Jeonnam Dragons
63% Ball Possession 37%
11 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 2
478 Passes 244
82% Pass Accuracy 70%
14 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Busan I Park vs Jeonnam Dragons
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Busan I Park and Jeonnam Dragons couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Busan I Park at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Busan I Park had 63% of the ball to Jeonnam Dragons's 37%, shots finished 11-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Busan I Park had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Busan I Park and 0.83 for Jeonnam Dragons.

What was the final score of Busan I Park vs Jeonnam Dragons?

Busan I Park 1-1 Jeonnam Dragons in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Busan I Park vs Jeonnam Dragons?

Before kick-off our model rated a Busan I Park win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Busan I Park 43%, draw 28%, Jeonnam Dragons 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Busan I Park) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Busan I Park) ✓ Under 2.5
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