CDS Tampico Madero 2-1 Cancun FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 21 Sep 2025

📅21/09/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.18
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.64
Over 2.5
32%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.9
No
59%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
15%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-3.8pp
32%
Draw
29%
+3.0pp
30%
Away Win
30%
+0.8pp
68%
Under 2.5
57%
+10.8pp
32%
Over 2.5
43%
-10.8pp
41%
BTTS Yes
49%
-7.6pp
59%
BTTS No
51%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CDS Tampico Madero EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Cancun FC EU Bookmakers 33%
+28% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +4%
1.18/0.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.31
-18% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +0%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
291 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CDS Tampico Madero
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Cancun FC
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
09.02.2025 CDS Tampico Madero CDS Tampico Madero 0-2 HT 0-2 Cancun FC Cancun FC MEK2
25.08.2024 Cancun FC Cancun FC 0-1 HT 0-0 CDS Tampico Madero CDS Tampico Madero MEK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CDS Tampico Madero
2-1
AWAY Cancun FC
65% Ball Possession 35%
21 Total Shots 9
11 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
5 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH CDS Tampico Madero vs Cancun FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CDS Tampico Madero squeezed past Cancun FC 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 32% / 30%) promised a tight game; CDS Tampico Madero found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, CDS Tampico Madero had 65% of the ball to Cancun FC's 35%, shots finished 21-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for CDS Tampico Madero and 1.00 for Cancun FC.

What was the final score of CDS Tampico Madero vs Cancun FC?

CDS Tampico Madero 2-1 Cancun FC in the Mexico - Primera A on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CDS Tampico Madero vs Cancun FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a CDS Tampico Madero win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split CDS Tampico Madero 38%, draw 32%, Cancun FC 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CDS Tampico Madero) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CDS Tampico Madero) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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