Venados 4-3 Mineros de Zacatecas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 21 Sep 2025

📅21/09/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.46
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
32%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.66
No
45%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
51%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
37%
+5.4pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.0pp
32%
Away Win
36%
-4.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.8pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Venados EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Mineros de Zacatecas EU Bookmakers 40%
+13% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -9%
1.52/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.33
+16% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
286 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Venados
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Mineros de Zacatecas
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
28.04.2025 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas 2-0 HT 0-0 Venados Venados MEK2
25.04.2025 Venados Venados 2-0 HT 1-0 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas MEK2
29.03.2025 Venados Venados 2-0 HT 1-0 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas MEK2
13.10.2024 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas 2-2 Venados Venados MEK2
05.02.2024 Venados Venados 1-0 HT 1-0 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas MEK2
05.10.2023 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas 3-0 HT 1-0 Venados Venados MEK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Venados
4-3
AWAY Mineros de Zacatecas
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 20
8 Shots on Target 11
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Venados vs Mineros de Zacatecas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Venados squeezed past Mineros de Zacatecas 4-3. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Venados as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Venados had 50% of the ball to Mineros de Zacatecas's 50%, shots finished 9-20.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Venados had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Venados and 1.17 for Mineros de Zacatecas.

What was the final score of Venados vs Mineros de Zacatecas?

Venados 4-3 Mineros de Zacatecas in the Mexico - Primera A on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Venados vs Mineros de Zacatecas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Venados win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Venados 42%, draw 26%, Mineros de Zacatecas 32%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Venados), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Venados) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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