Dorados De Sinaloa 1-2 Alebrijes de Oaxaca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 21 Sep 2025

📅21/09/2025 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.05
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.03
Over 2.5
57%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.61
No
40%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
13%
2/2
19%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
45%
+1.4pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.1pp
30%
Away Win
30%
+0.6pp
43%
Under 2.5
45%
-2.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
55%
+2.4pp
60%
BTTS Yes
58%
+2.6pp
40%
BTTS No
42%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dorados De Sinaloa EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Alebrijes de Oaxaca EU Bookmakers 33%
-5% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.90/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.26
+27% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
342 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dorados De Sinaloa
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
20.04.2025 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2-2 HT 0-1 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa MEK2
03.11.2024 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa 2-0 HT 1-0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEK2
03.04.2024 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa 1-3 HT 0-1 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEK2
28.09.2023 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca 4-0 HT 2-0 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa MEK2
26.01.2023 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca 3-0 HT 3-0 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa MEK2
12.10.2022 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa 2-0 HT 0-0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEK2
POST-MATCH Dorados De Sinaloa vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alebrijes de Oaxaca edged past Dorados De Sinaloa 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Dorados De Sinaloa at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alebrijes de Oaxaca led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Dorados De Sinaloa and 2.00 for Alebrijes de Oaxaca.

What was the final score of Dorados De Sinaloa vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca?

Dorados De Sinaloa 1-2 Alebrijes de Oaxaca in the Mexico - Primera A on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dorados De Sinaloa vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dorados De Sinaloa win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Dorados De Sinaloa 46%, draw 24%, Alebrijes de Oaxaca 30%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dorados De Sinaloa) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dorados De Sinaloa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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