Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2-2 Dorados De Sinaloa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 20 Apr 2025

📅20/04/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.47
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
39%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
2.18
Over 2.5
41%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.55
No
52%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
21%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.5pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.4pp
39%
Away Win
38%
+1.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
42%
+17.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
58%
-17.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
60%
-12.2pp
52%
BTTS No
40%
+12.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alebrijes de Oaxaca EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Dorados De Sinaloa EU Bookmakers 42%
-3% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.51/1.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/1.35
+19% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -12%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
265 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alebrijes de Oaxaca
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Dorados De Sinaloa
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
03.11.2024 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa 2-0 HT 1-0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEK2
03.04.2024 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa 1-3 HT 0-1 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEK2
28.09.2023 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca 4-0 HT 2-0 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa MEK2
26.01.2023 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca 3-0 HT 3-0 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa MEK2
12.10.2022 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa 2-0 HT 0-0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEK2
27.03.2022 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca 5-1 HT 2-0 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa MEK2
POST-MATCH Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Dorados De Sinaloa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alebrijes de Oaxaca and Dorados De Sinaloa shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 23% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alebrijes de Oaxaca had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Alebrijes de Oaxaca and 1.00 for Dorados De Sinaloa.

What was the final score of Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Dorados De Sinaloa?

Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2-2 Dorados De Sinaloa in the Mexico - Primera A on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Dorados De Sinaloa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dorados De Sinaloa win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Alebrijes de Oaxaca 38%, draw 23%, Dorados De Sinaloa 39%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Dorados De Sinaloa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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