Cancun FC 4-1 CA La Paz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 20 Apr 2025

📅20/04/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.37
Draw
20%
4.49
Away
16%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.23
Over 2.5
62%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
68%
-4.3pp
20%
Draw
19%
+0.6pp
16%
Away Win
13%
+3.8pp
38%
Under 2.5
41%
-2.7pp
62%
Over 2.5
59%
+2.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.4pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cancun FC EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY CA La Paz EU Bookmakers 16%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -13%
2.18/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/2.71
+2% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -29%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
336 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cancun FC
2W-2D-1L
AWAY CA La Paz
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
12 Corners 6
02.11.2024 CA La Paz CA La Paz 1-1 HT 0-1 Cancun FC Cancun FC MEK2
03.03.2024 Cancun FC Cancun FC 2-2 HT 0-2 CA La Paz CA La Paz MEK2
14.09.2023 CA La Paz CA La Paz 1-4 HT 1-2 Cancun FC Cancun FC MEK2
16.02.2023 CA La Paz CA La Paz 1-0 HT 0-0 Cancun FC Cancun FC MEK2
03.08.2022 Cancun FC Cancun FC 2-0 HT 1-0 CA La Paz CA La Paz MEK2
POST-MATCH Cancun FC vs CA La Paz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cancun FC swept aside CA La Paz 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Cancun FC as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Cancun FC had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Cancun FC and 1.00 for CA La Paz.

What was the final score of Cancun FC vs CA La Paz?

Cancun FC 4-1 CA La Paz in the Mexico - Primera A on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cancun FC vs CA La Paz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cancun FC win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Cancun FC 64%, draw 20%, CA La Paz 16%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cancun FC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cancun FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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