Mineros de Zacatecas 1-2 Tepatitlán de Morelos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 20 Apr 2025

📅20/04/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
26%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.95
Over 2.5
45%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
47%
-0.4pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.9pp
26%
Away Win
27%
-0.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-6.2pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mineros de Zacatecas EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Tepatitlán de Morelos EU Bookmakers 30%
+4% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -2%
1.54/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.77
+3% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -19%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
297 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mineros de Zacatecas
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Tepatitlán de Morelos
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
03.11.2024 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos 1-1 HT 1-0 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas MEK2
16.02.2024 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos 1-1 HT 1-0 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas MEK2
20.11.2023 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas 5-2 HT 2-0 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos MEK2
17.11.2023 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos 0-2 HT 0-1 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas MEK2
24.08.2023 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas 4-1 HT 2-1 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos MEK2
23.02.2023 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos 2-2 HT 2-1 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas MEK2
POST-MATCH Mineros de Zacatecas vs Tepatitlán de Morelos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tepatitlán de Morelos squeezed past Mineros de Zacatecas 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Mineros de Zacatecas at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mineros de Zacatecas had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Mineros de Zacatecas and 1.17 for Tepatitlán de Morelos.

What was the final score of Mineros de Zacatecas vs Tepatitlán de Morelos?

Mineros de Zacatecas 1-2 Tepatitlán de Morelos in the Mexico - Primera A on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mineros de Zacatecas vs Tepatitlán de Morelos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mineros de Zacatecas win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Mineros de Zacatecas 47%, draw 27%, Tepatitlán de Morelos 26%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Mineros de Zacatecas) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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