Gil Vicente vs Estoril Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Gil Vicente v Estoril — Team-Based Signals
Gil Vicente vs Estoril Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
5-3
HT 3-0
Estoril
POR
1-0
HT 1-0
Gil Vicente
POR
0-1
HT 0-0
Estoril
POR
Gil Vicente 2-0 Estoril — Actual Match Statistics
Gil Vicente saw off Estoril 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match split (39% / 25% / 36%) promised a tight game; Gil Vicente found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Gil Vicente had 51% of the ball to Estoril's 49%, shots finished 16-7, expected goals 2.51 to 0.32.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Estoril led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Gil Vicente and 1.33 for Estoril.
What was the final score of Gil Vicente vs Estoril?
Gil Vicente 2-0 Estoril in the Portugal - Premier League on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Gil Vicente vs Estoril?
Before kick-off our model rated a Gil Vicente win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Gil Vicente 39%, draw 25%, Estoril 36%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gil Vicente), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.