Estudiantes De Merida 2-0 Portuguesa FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 21 Sep 2025

📅21/09/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.92
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
25%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.71
Over 2.5
39%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
24%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
48%
-1.4pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.8pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+0.6pp
61%
Under 2.5
55%
+6.5pp
39%
Over 2.5
45%
-6.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.9pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estudiantes De Merida EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Portuguesa FC EU Bookmakers 28%
+10% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -7%
1.55/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.12
+30% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +15%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
311 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 73%
19.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.1
16.5 Crosses 13.1
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estudiantes De Merida
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Portuguesa FC
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.09 xG 0.78
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 2
290 Passes 282
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 19
24 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
12.04.2025 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 4-2 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN
12.10.2024 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 2-0 HT 1-0 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC VEN
13.04.2024 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 3-2 HT 1-0 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN
17.07.2023 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 2-0 HT 0-0 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN
30.04.2023 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 0-1 HT 0-1 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC VEN
08.08.2022 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 1-1 HT 0-0 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estudiantes De Merida
2-0
AWAY Portuguesa FC
1.32 xG 0.97
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 9
220 Passes 278
72% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 19
9 Crosses 20
6 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Estudiantes De Merida vs Portuguesa FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estudiantes De Merida beat Portuguesa FC 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Estudiantes De Merida as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

On the day, Estudiantes De Merida had 45% of the ball to Portuguesa FC's 55%, shots finished 10-18, expected goals 1.32 to 0.97.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Portuguesa FC led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Estudiantes De Merida and 1.83 for Portuguesa FC.

What was the final score of Estudiantes De Merida vs Portuguesa FC?

Estudiantes De Merida 2-0 Portuguesa FC in the Venezuela - Premier League on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estudiantes De Merida vs Portuguesa FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Estudiantes De Merida win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Estudiantes De Merida 47%, draw 29%, Portuguesa FC 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Estudiantes De Merida), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Estudiantes De Merida) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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