21/09/2026
·
01:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
⟳Odds and our pick may update before kickoff — check again closer to match time. This match may also enter or leave our daily prediction lists until kick-off; from kick-off, a listed pick is locked and stays published.
Atletico Paranaense vs Bahia Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Total Goals
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Atletico Paranaense v Bahia — Team-Based Signals
SIGNALS
Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
Atletico Paranaense vs Bahia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Atletico Paranaense
2W-2D-2L
AWAY
Bahia
1.17
Avg Goals (FT)
1.50
1.29
xG
1.61
48%
Ball Possession
52%
14
Total Shots
15
5
Shots on Target
5
5
Corners
6
343
Passes
381
81%
Pass Accuracy
82%
18
Box Touches
22
17
Crosses
20
2
Yellow Cards
2
The Meetings
PREVIEW
Atletico Paranaense vs Bahia
IDDAAKOLIK MATCH PREVIEW
Atletico Paranaense hold a modest edge on our numbers — a lean, not a lock.
Over 2.5 goals has landed in just 1 of Atletico Paranaense's last 5 home league games.
Across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours are even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Atletico Paranaense and 1.50 for Bahia.
Atletico Paranaense vs Bahia Kick-off Time
Atletico Paranaense play Bahia in the Brazil - Serie A on 21/09/2026, kick-off 01:30 (Istanbul · GMT+3).
Atletico Paranaense vs Bahia Match Prediction & Odds
Our model's prediction for Atletico Paranaense vs Bahia is a Atletico Paranaense win at about 45% probability, priced 2.06 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Atletico Paranaense 45%, draw 28%, Bahia 26%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.
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21 Sep 2026