Enfield Town 3-1 Ebbsfleet United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 21 Oct 2025

📅21/10/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.17
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
45%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.7
No
43%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.3
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
24%
3.28
6+ Goals
9%
12.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.3 — our 27% vs market 23.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
10%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
28%
-1.9pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.0pp
45%
Away Win
45%
-0.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
55%
+2.0pp
43%
BTTS No
45%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Enfield Town EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Ebbsfleet United EU Bookmakers 49%
-2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -11%
0.96/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.67
-26% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -30%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
330 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Enfield Town
3-1
AWAY Ebbsfleet United
38% Ball Possession 62%
16 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Enfield Town vs Ebbsfleet United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Enfield Town saw off Ebbsfleet United 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Ebbsfleet United at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Enfield Town had 38% of the ball to Ebbsfleet United's 62%, shots finished 16-14.

What was the final score of Enfield Town vs Ebbsfleet United?

Enfield Town 3-1 Ebbsfleet United in the England - Conference on 21/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Enfield Town vs Ebbsfleet United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ebbsfleet United win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Enfield Town 26%, draw 28%, Ebbsfleet United 45%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ebbsfleet United), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ebbsfleet United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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