Airdrieonians 0-4 Dunfermline Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 21 Oct 2025

📅21/10/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.5
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
50%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.64
Over 2.5
45%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.96
No
50%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.5
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals
20%
4.27
6+ Goals
10%
22.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
6.4
1/2
9%
28.0
1/X
8%
15.45
X/1
7%
7.66
X/2
14%
4.35
X/X
12%
4.19
2/1
7%
35.0
2/2
28%
2.7
2/X
7%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
25%
-3.1pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.7pp
51%
Away Win
48%
+2.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
57%
-1.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
43%
+1.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.1pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Airdrieonians EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Dunfermline Athletic EU Bookmakers 52%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -28%
1.41/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.36
+43% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / -24%
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
210 · 62% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
6.0 Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Airdrieonians
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Dunfermline Athletic
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
6 Crosses 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
09.08.2025 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 2-0 HT 2-0 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians İKCL
26.04.2025 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 0-0 HT 0-0 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians İKCL
25.01.2025 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians 3-0 HT 2-0 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKCL
16.11.2024 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 1-0 HT 0-0 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians İKCL
05.10.2024 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians 1-1 HT 0-1 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKCL
13.04.2024 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians 2-1 HT 1-0 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKCL
POST-MATCH Airdrieonians vs Dunfermline Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dunfermline Athletic ran out comfortable winners over Airdrieonians 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Dunfermline Athletic as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Airdrieonians and 0.83 for Dunfermline Athletic.

What was the final score of Airdrieonians vs Dunfermline Athletic?

Airdrieonians 0-4 Dunfermline Athletic in the Scotland - Championship on 21/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Airdrieonians vs Dunfermline Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dunfermline Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Airdrieonians 22%, draw 28%, Dunfermline Athletic 51%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dunfermline Athletic) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dunfermline Athletic) ✗ Under 2.5
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