Partick Thistle vs Ayr United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Partick Thistle v Ayr United — Team-Based Signals
Partick Thistle vs Ayr United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Partick Thistle edged past Ayr United 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
As we said in the preview, our model had Partick Thistle as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Partick Thistle had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Partick Thistle and 0.50 for Ayr United.
What was the final score of Partick Thistle vs Ayr United?
Partick Thistle 2-1 Ayr United in the Scotland - Championship on 21/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Partick Thistle vs Ayr United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Partick Thistle win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Partick Thistle 41%, draw 28%, Ayr United 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Partick Thistle) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.