Workington 1-2 Gainsborough Trinity — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 21 Oct 2025

📅21/10/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.29
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
42%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.74
Over 2.5
33%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.88
No
61%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
10%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
19%
X/X
18%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
27%
+6.5pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.3pp
42%
Away Win
47%
-5.2pp
67%
Under 2.5
54%
+13.3pp
33%
Over 2.5
46%
-13.3pp
39%
BTTS Yes
49%
-9.9pp
61%
BTTS No
51%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Workington EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Gainsborough Trinity EU Bookmakers 51%
-2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
1.09/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.38
-16% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -14%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
237 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Workington
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Gainsborough Trinity
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 2.75
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
15.03.2025 Workington Workington 1-1 HT 1-1 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity İNGNLP
09.11.2024 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity 3-0 HT 1-0 Workington Workington İNGNLP
23.03.2024 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity 4-2 HT 3-0 Workington Workington İNGNLP
21.10.2023 Workington Workington 2-3 HT 1-1 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Workington
1-2
AWAY Gainsborough Trinity
46% Ball Possession 54%
3 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Workington vs Gainsborough Trinity
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gainsborough Trinity edged past Workington 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Gainsborough Trinity as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Workington had 46% of the ball to Gainsborough Trinity's 54%, shots finished 3-5.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Gainsborough Trinity led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Workington and 2.75 for Gainsborough Trinity.

What was the final score of Workington vs Gainsborough Trinity?

Workington 1-2 Gainsborough Trinity in the England - Non League Premier on 21/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Workington vs Gainsborough Trinity?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gainsborough Trinity win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Workington 33%, draw 25%, Gainsborough Trinity 42%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gainsborough Trinity) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gainsborough Trinity) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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