Sport Boys 1-0 Melgar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 21 Oct 2025

Sport Boys
1 - 0 HT 1 - 0
Melgar
📅21/10/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Peru - Premier League – 2025

Sport Boys vs Melgar Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.99
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
44%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
1.75
Over
46%
1.99
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.87
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
46%
4-5
21%
6+
4%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
18%
2/1
2%
2/2
25%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet. ★ This match carries Gold/Silver/Bronze value markets — free account to see them.

Sport Boys v Melgar — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Sport Boys The Market 33%
Signal
AWAY Melgar The Market 46%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.07 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.62
1.22 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.09
Weak Attack Strength Average
Strong Defense Strength Weak
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
305 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 74%
18 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22
19 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3

Sport Boys vs Melgar Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sport Boys
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Melgar
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.37 xG 1.98
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
220 Passes 313
74% Pass Accuracy 79%
10 Box Touches 26
13 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
14.06.2025 Melgar Melgar 2-1 HT 0-1 Sport Boys Sport Boys PER
18.10.2024 Sport Boys Sport Boys 0-2 HT 0-2 Melgar Melgar PER
05.05.2024 Melgar Melgar 2-1 HT 1-0 Sport Boys Sport Boys PER
31.07.2023 Sport Boys Sport Boys 0-2 HT 0-2 Melgar Melgar PER
12.05.2023 Melgar Melgar 2-0 HT 1-0 Sport Boys Sport Boys PER
20.10.2022 Melgar Melgar 3-0 HT 0-0 Sport Boys Sport Boys PER

Sport Boys 1-0 Melgar — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sport Boys
1 - 0
AWAY Melgar
0.76 xG 1.04
33% Ball Possession 67%
12 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 7
208 Passes 481
74% Pass Accuracy 86%
11 Box Touches 39
8 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Sport Boys vs Melgar
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Sport Boys nicked a narrow win over Melgar 1-0.

We leaned Melgar at 44% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that.

The goals picture was genuinely open: 46% for over 2.5, 51% on both teams scoring.

By the numbers, Sport Boys had 33% of the ball to Melgar's 67%, shots finished 12-17, expected goals 0.76 to 1.04.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Melgar led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Sport Boys and 2.17 for Melgar.

Sport Boys vs Melgar Result & Final Score

Sport Boys 1 - 0 Melgar in the Peru - Premier League on 21/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Sport Boys vs Melgar Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Melgar win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Sport Boys 27%, draw 29%, Melgar 44%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Melgar), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Melgar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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