Ceara 1-2 Internacional — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 21 Nov 2025

📅21/11/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
26%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.64
Over 2.5
42%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.63
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
18%
4.29
6+ Goals
9%
21.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.63 — our 34% vs market 31.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
3.09
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
7%
13.65
X/1
14%
4.79
X/2
8%
6.88
X/X
11%
4.15
2/1
8%
29.0
2/2
12%
5.39
2/X
8%
14.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
44%
+3.5pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.3pp
26%
Away Win
27%
-1.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
57%
+0.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
43%
-0.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.0pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ceara EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Internacional EU Bookmakers 31%
+5% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -5%
1.21/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.48
-12% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
313 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 78%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
23.1 Crosses 15.1
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ceara
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Internacional
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.41 xG 1.43
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
300 Passes 304
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 18
21 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 2
20.07.2025 Internacional Internacional 1-0 HT 1-0 Ceara Ceara BR1
27.10.2022 Internacional Internacional 2-1 HT 0-1 Ceara Ceara BR1
03.07.2022 Ceara Ceara 1-1 HT 1-1 Internacional Internacional BR1
07.10.2021 Ceara Ceara 0-0 HT 0-0 Internacional Internacional BR1
20.06.2021 Internacional Internacional 1-1 HT 1-1 Ceara Ceara BR1
08.01.2021 Ceara Ceara 0-2 HT 0-0 Internacional Internacional BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ceara
1-2
AWAY Internacional
0.28 xG 0.80
29% Ball Possession 71%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
135 Passes 462
69% Pass Accuracy 89%
13 Box Touches 27
23 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ceara vs Internacional
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Internacional squeezed past Ceara 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Ceara at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ceara had 29% of the ball to Internacional's 71%, shots finished 10-16, expected goals 0.28 to 0.80.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Internacional led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Ceara and 1.17 for Internacional.

What was the final score of Ceara vs Internacional?

Ceara 1-2 Internacional in the Brazil - Serie A on 21/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ceara vs Internacional?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ceara win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Ceara 48%, draw 26%, Internacional 26%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ceara) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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