Corinthians vs Sao Paulo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Corinthians v Sao Paulo — Team-Based Signals
Corinthians vs Sao Paulo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 2-1
Corinthians
BR1
2-0
HT 2-0
Corinthians
BRK
2-1
HT 0-0
Sao Paulo
BRK
Corinthians 3-1 Sao Paulo — Actual Match Statistics
Corinthians saw off Sao Paulo 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match split (37% / 30% / 33%) promised a tight game; Corinthians found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Corinthians had 46% of the ball to Sao Paulo's 54%, shots finished 13-6, expected goals 2.00 to 0.31.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sao Paulo led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Corinthians and 2.00 for Sao Paulo.
What was the final score of Corinthians vs Sao Paulo?
Corinthians 3-1 Sao Paulo in the Brazil - Serie A on 21/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Corinthians vs Sao Paulo?
Before kick-off our model rated a Corinthians win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Corinthians 37%, draw 30%, Sao Paulo 33%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Corinthians), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.