Atletico Nacional vs America de Cali Prediction — Model Probabilities
Atletico Nacional v America de Cali — Team-Based Signals
Atletico Nacional vs America de Cali Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Atletico Nacional 1-0 America de Cali — Actual Match Statistics
Atletico Nacional shaded a tight game against America de Cali 1-0. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.
The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Atletico Nacional as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 51% and both teams to score at 50%.
By the numbers, Atletico Nacional had 57% of the ball to America de Cali's 43%, shots finished 21-5, expected goals 1.31 to 0.17.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Nacional had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Atletico Nacional and 0.83 for America de Cali.
Atletico Nacional vs America de Cali Result & Final Score
Atletico Nacional 1 - 0 America de Cali in the Colombia - Primera on 21/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Atletico Nacional vs America de Cali Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Nacional win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Atletico Nacional 64%, draw 22%, America de Cali 14%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Nacional) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.