America de Cali 1-1 Atletico Nacional — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 25 Aug 2025

📅25/08/2025 · 🕒02:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.84
Draw
34%
2.94
Away
38%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.56
Over 2.5
36%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.99
No
50%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
17%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
32%
-3.6pp
34%
Draw
30%
+3.7pp
38%
Away Win
38%
-0.1pp
64%
Under 2.5
60%
+3.6pp
36%
Over 2.5
40%
-3.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
46%
+3.6pp
50%
BTTS No
54%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME America de Cali EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Nacional EU Bookmakers 42%
+11% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -7%
1.51/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.07
+54% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -9%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
277 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 77%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
17.9 Crosses 13.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME America de Cali
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Atletico Nacional
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.32 xG 0.93
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
322 Passes 292
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
15 Box Touches 13
14 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
10.03.2025 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 1-0 HT 1-0 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
16.12.2024 America de Cali America de Cali 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOLK
13.12.2024 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 3-1 HT 1-1 America de Cali America de Cali KOLK
22.07.2024 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 2-1 HT 0-0 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
29.01.2024 America de Cali America de Cali 4-1 HT 2-0 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOL
01.12.2023 America de Cali America de Cali 0-1 HT 0-1 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME America de Cali
1-1
AWAY Atletico Nacional
0.61 xG 0.60
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
285 Passes 457
80% Pass Accuracy 88%
5 Box Touches 23
19 Crosses 21
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH America de Cali vs Atletico Nacional
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

America de Cali and Atletico Nacional shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match split (28% / 34% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, America de Cali had 41% of the ball to Atletico Nacional's 59%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 0.61 to 0.60.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Nacional led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for America de Cali and 1.33 for Atletico Nacional.

What was the final score of America de Cali vs Atletico Nacional?

America de Cali 1-1 Atletico Nacional in the Colombia - Primera on 25/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for America de Cali vs Atletico Nacional?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atletico Nacional win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split America de Cali 28%, draw 34%, Atletico Nacional 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Atletico Nacional) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Nacional) ✓ Under 2.5
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