Atletico Nacional vs America de Cali Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Atletico Nacional v America de Cali — Team-Based Signals
Atletico Nacional vs America de Cali Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Atletico Nacional
KOL
1-0
HT 0-0
America de Cali
KOL
Atletico Nacional 1-0 America de Cali — Actual Match Statistics
Atletico Nacional nicked a narrow win over America de Cali 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Atletico Nacional as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Atletico Nacional had 52% of the ball to America de Cali's 48%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 0.95 to 0.61.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Nacional had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Atletico Nacional and 1.00 for America de Cali.
What was the final score of Atletico Nacional vs America de Cali?
Atletico Nacional 1-0 America de Cali in the Colombia - Primera on 10/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Atletico Nacional vs America de Cali?
Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Nacional win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Atletico Nacional 55%, draw 23%, America de Cali 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Nacional), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.