Junior 2-1 Millonarios — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 10 Mar 2025

📅10/03/2025 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.18
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.6
Over 2.5
37%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.95
No
55%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
12%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-3.1pp
31%
Draw
30%
+0.3pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+2.8pp
63%
Under 2.5
59%
+4.0pp
37%
Over 2.5
41%
-4.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.2pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Junior EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Millonarios EU Bookmakers 31%
+4% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -2%
1.33/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.21
+28% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +11%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
257 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 77%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.1
14.9 Crosses 13.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Junior
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Millonarios
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.25 xG 1.07
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
368 Passes 275
83% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 2
08.11.2024 Junior Junior 0-0 HT 0-0 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
03.06.2024 Millonarios Millonarios 2-0 HT 0-0 Junior Junior KOL
05.05.2024 Junior Junior 2-1 HT 1-0 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
18.04.2024 Millonarios Millonarios 3-2 HT 1-0 Junior Junior KOL
25.01.2024 Millonarios Millonarios 2-0 HT 0-0 Junior Junior KOLSK
19.01.2024 Junior Junior 1-0 HT 0-0 Millonarios Millonarios KOLSK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Junior
2-1
AWAY Millonarios
3.31 xG 1.00
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 1
12 Corners 4
331 Passes 198
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
33 Box Touches 7
28 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Junior vs Millonarios
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Junior edged past Millonarios 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 31% / 30% — and on the day Junior made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Junior had 61% of the ball to Millonarios's 39%, shots finished 18-7, expected goals 3.31 to 1.00 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Junior's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Millonarios led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Junior and 1.33 for Millonarios.

What was the final score of Junior vs Millonarios?

Junior 2-1 Millonarios in the Colombia - Primera on 10/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Junior vs Millonarios?

Before kick-off our model rated a Junior win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Junior 39%, draw 31%, Millonarios 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Junior) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Junior) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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