AFC Hornchurch 1-2 Chippenham Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 21 Dec 2024

📅21/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.02
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.64
Over 2.5
41%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.95
No
55%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.48
2-3 Goals
47%
1.71
4-5 Goals
15%
4.25
6+ Goals
8%
22.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
12%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-2.5pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.6pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+0.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
57%
+1.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
43%
-1.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.5pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Hornchurch EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Chippenham Town EU Bookmakers 30%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +27%
0.51/0.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.03
-67% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +45%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
309 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AFC Hornchurch
1-2
AWAY Chippenham Town
42% Ball Possession 58%
5 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 11
0 Corners 14
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH AFC Hornchurch vs Chippenham Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chippenham Town nicked a narrow win over AFC Hornchurch 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was AFC Hornchurch at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, AFC Hornchurch had 42% of the ball to Chippenham Town's 58%, shots finished 5-17.

What was the final score of AFC Hornchurch vs Chippenham Town?

AFC Hornchurch 1-2 Chippenham Town in the England - Conference on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Hornchurch vs Chippenham Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Hornchurch win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split AFC Hornchurch 43%, draw 30%, Chippenham Town 27%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (AFC Hornchurch) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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