St. Albans City 1-2 Truro City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 21 Dec 2024

📅21/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.84
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
49%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.64
Over 2.5
38%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.9
No
59%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.48
2-3 Goals
42%
1.71
4-5 Goals
15%
4.26
6+ Goals
7%
22.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.48 — our 36% vs market 32.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
18%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
27%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
32%
-4.0pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.8pp
49%
Away Win
41%
+7.8pp
62%
Under 2.5
57%
+4.9pp
38%
Over 2.5
43%
-4.9pp
41%
BTTS Yes
49%
-7.8pp
59%
BTTS No
51%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Albans City EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Truro City EU Bookmakers 45%
+5% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.05/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.00
-18% / +67% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +31%
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
328 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Albans City
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Truro City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
62% Ball Possession 38%
6 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.03.2024 St. Albans City St. Albans City 1-2 HT 0-0 Truro City Truro City İCON
02.12.2023 Truro City Truro City 3-1 HT 1-0 St. Albans City St. Albans City İCON
POST-MATCH St. Albans City vs Truro City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Truro City edged past St. Albans City 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Truro City as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Truro City led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for St. Albans City and 2.50 for Truro City.

What was the final score of St. Albans City vs Truro City?

St. Albans City 1-2 Truro City in the England - Conference on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Albans City vs Truro City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Truro City win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split St. Albans City 27%, draw 24%, Truro City 49%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Truro City) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Truro City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İCON More England - Conference
21 Dec 2024
18:00 Needham Market vs Darlington 1883 Analysis →
18:00 Torquay United vs Hemel Hempstead Town Analysis →
18:00 Weston-super-Mare vs Eastbourne Borough Analysis →
18:00 Salisbury vs Welling United Analysis →
18:00 Hampton & Richmond vs Slough Town Analysis →
18:00 AFC Hornchurch vs Chippenham Town Analysis →