St. Albans City 1-2 Truro City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.0
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.91
Over 2.5
55%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.68
No
42%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.51
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
27%
3.4
6+ Goals
12%
12.75
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.4 — our 27% vs market 24.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
9%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-5.1pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.3pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+2.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
48%
-3.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
52%
+3.3pp
58%
BTTS Yes
56%
+2.5pp
42%
BTTS No
44%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Albans City EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Truro City EU Bookmakers 32%
-23% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.45/1.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.57
-6% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
344 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Albans City
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Truro City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
02.12.2023 Truro City Truro City 3-1 HT 1-0 St. Albans City St. Albans City İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Albans City
1-2
AWAY Truro City
67% Ball Possession 33%
4 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH St. Albans City vs Truro City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Truro City squeezed past St. Albans City 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was St. Albans City at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, St. Albans City had 67% of the ball to Truro City's 33%, shots finished 4-4.

What was the final score of St. Albans City vs Truro City?

St. Albans City 1-2 Truro City in the England - Conference on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Albans City vs Truro City?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Albans City win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split St. Albans City 41%, draw 28%, Truro City 31%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (St. Albans City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (St. Albans City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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