Weston-super-Mare 0-1 Eastbourne Borough — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 21 Dec 2024

📅21/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.78
Over 2.5
50%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.91
2-3 Goals
36%
1.72
4-5 Goals
24%
3.62
6+ Goals
11%
15.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.6pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.5pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+2.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.4pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Weston-super-Mare EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Eastbourne Borough EU Bookmakers 34%
+7% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +1%
1.80/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.44
+29% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
358 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Weston-super-Mare
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Eastbourne Borough
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 4
16.04.2024 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare 1-1 HT 0-1 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough İCON
02.09.2023 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough 2-1 HT 1-0 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare İCON
03.02.2015 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare 2-2 HT 1-0 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough İCON
POST-MATCH Weston-super-Mare vs Eastbourne Borough
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eastbourne Borough edged past Weston-super-Mare 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Weston-super-Mare at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Eastbourne Borough led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Weston-super-Mare and 1.67 for Eastbourne Borough.

What was the final score of Weston-super-Mare vs Eastbourne Borough?

Weston-super-Mare 0-1 Eastbourne Borough in the England - Conference on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Weston-super-Mare vs Eastbourne Borough?

Before kick-off our model rated a Weston-super-Mare win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Weston-super-Mare 41%, draw 25%, Eastbourne Borough 33%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Weston-super-Mare)
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