Needham Market 0-1 Darlington 1883 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 21 Dec 2024

📅21/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.32
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
51%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.78
Over 2.5
45%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
2.85
2-3 Goals
44%
1.71
4-5 Goals
18%
3.69
6+ Goals
10%
16.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.85 — our 28% vs market 27.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
28%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
27%
-1.5pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.7pp
51%
Away Win
47%
+3.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.2pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Needham Market EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Darlington 1883 EU Bookmakers 51%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +40% / +40%
1.21/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.53/0.95
-2% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +121% / +27%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
340 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 0.2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Needham Market
0-1
AWAY Darlington 1883
55% Ball Possession 45%
4 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Needham Market vs Darlington 1883
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Darlington 1883 squeezed past Needham Market 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Darlington 1883 as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Needham Market had 55% of the ball to Darlington 1883's 45%, shots finished 4-6.

What was the final score of Needham Market vs Darlington 1883?

Needham Market 0-1 Darlington 1883 in the England - Conference on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Needham Market vs Darlington 1883?

Before kick-off our model rated an Darlington 1883 win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Needham Market 25%, draw 24%, Darlington 1883 51%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Darlington 1883), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Darlington 1883) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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