Salisbury 3-1 Welling United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 21 Dec 2024

📅21/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.0
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.97
Over 2.5
48%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.45
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
23%
3.15
6+ Goals
9%
11.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
-5.6pp
31%
Draw
26%
+4.5pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+1.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
47%
+5.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
53%
-5.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.8pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Salisbury EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Welling United EU Bookmakers 32%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +2%
3.06/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.17
+103% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +18%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
349 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Salisbury
3-1
AWAY Welling United
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
0 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Salisbury vs Welling United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Salisbury saw off Welling United 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 31% / 29% — and on the day Salisbury made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Salisbury had 43% of the ball to Welling United's 57%, shots finished 7-7.

What was the final score of Salisbury vs Welling United?

Salisbury 3-1 Welling United in the England - Conference on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Salisbury vs Welling United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Salisbury win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Salisbury 40%, draw 31%, Welling United 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Salisbury), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Salisbury) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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