Boreham Wood 1-1 Tonbridge Angels — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 21 Dec 2024

Boreham Wood
1-1 HT 0-0
Tonbridge Angels
📅21/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
England - Conference – 2024/2025

Boreham Wood vs Tonbridge Angels Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.53
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
23%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.9
Over 2.5
45%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.96
No
57%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.12
2-3 Goals
42%
1.73
4-5 Goals
22%
3.4
6+ Goals
8%
13.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.12 — our 28% vs market 25.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
61%
-7.6pp
23%
Draw
22%
+1.2pp
23%
Away Win
17%
+6.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
49%
+6.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
51%
-6.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.6pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Boreham Wood v Tonbridge Angels — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boreham Wood EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Tonbridge Angels EU Bookmakers 20%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -9%
2.01/0.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.75
+9% / +85% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +1%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
356 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
POST-MATCH Boreham Wood vs Tonbridge Angels
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boreham Wood and Tonbridge Angels couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Boreham Wood at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

What was the final score of Boreham Wood vs Tonbridge Angels?

Boreham Wood 1-1 Tonbridge Angels in the England - Conference on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boreham Wood vs Tonbridge Angels?

Before kick-off our model rated a Boreham Wood win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Boreham Wood 54%, draw 23%, Tonbridge Angels 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Boreham Wood), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Boreham Wood) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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