Hamburg 5-0 Greuther Fürth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 21 Dec 2024

📅21/12/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.53
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
26%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.96
Over 2.5
64%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.46
No
41%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
6.64
2-3 Goals
36%
2.13
4-5 Goals
31%
2.41
6+ Goals
16%
4.76
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1.86
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.7
X/1
12%
4.2
X/2
11%
12.0
X/X
8%
7.62
2/1
8%
18.6
2/2
8%
7.63
2/X
8%
15.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
62%
-10.6pp
23%
Draw
20%
+3.0pp
26%
Away Win
18%
+7.5pp
36%
Under 2.5
30%
+5.9pp
64%
Over 2.5
70%
-5.9pp
59%
BTTS Yes
64%
-5.4pp
41%
BTTS No
36%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hamburg EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Greuther Fürth EU Bookmakers 21%
-5% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +4%
2.08/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.74
+9% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -6%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
378 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 76%
31.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
22.3 Crosses 14.7
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hamburg
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Greuther Fürth
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.67 xG 0.95
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
376 Passes 315
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
29 Box Touches 22
22 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
31.03.2024 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 1-1 HT 0-0 Hamburg Hamburg AL2
21.10.2023 Hamburg Hamburg 2-0 HT 2-0 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth AL2
20.05.2023 Hamburg Hamburg 2-1 HT 1-0 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth AL2
09.11.2022 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 1-0 HT 1-0 Hamburg Hamburg AL2
13.02.2021 Hamburg Hamburg 0-0 HT 0-0 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth AL2
17.10.2020 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 0-1 HT 0-1 Hamburg Hamburg AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hamburg
5-0
AWAY Greuther Fürth
2.85 xG 0.76
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
483 Passes 404
89% Pass Accuracy 85%
21 Box Touches 18
10 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hamburg vs Greuther Fürth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hamburg swept aside Greuther Fürth 5-0. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Hamburg as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (64%) landed while both teams to score (59%) missed.

On the day, Hamburg had 53% of the ball to Greuther Fürth's 47%, shots finished 14-5, expected goals 2.85 to 0.76.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hamburg had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hamburg and 0.50 for Greuther Fürth.

What was the final score of Hamburg vs Greuther Fürth?

Hamburg 5-0 Greuther Fürth in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hamburg vs Greuther Fürth?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hamburg win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Hamburg 51%, draw 23%, Greuther Fürth 26%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hamburg), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hamburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AL2 More Germany - 2. Bundesliga
21 Dec 2024
15:00 Paderborn vs Karlsruher SC Analysis →
15:00 Preussen Münster vs Ulm 1846 Analysis →
22:30 Nürnberg vs Braunschweig Analysis →