Nürnberg 1-0 Braunschweig — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 21 Dec 2024

Nürnberg
1-0 HT 0-0
Braunschweig
📅21/12/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Germany - 2. Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Nürnberg vs Braunschweig Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.72
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
25%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.33
Over 2.5
56%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.56
No
43%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.68
2-3 Goals
42%
1.89
4-5 Goals
26%
2.73
6+ Goals
12%
7.32
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.19
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.1
X/1
18%
4.32
X/2
11%
9.5
X/X
9%
6.04
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
20.8
2/2
9%
6.48
2/X
9%
14.55
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.8 — our 8% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
54%
-3.6pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.4pp
25%
Away Win
23%
+2.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
39%
+4.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
61%
-4.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.3pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nürnberg v Braunschweig — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nürnberg EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Braunschweig EU Bookmakers 26%
-7% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -13%
1.59/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.68
+15% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -18%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
392 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 71%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
19.3 Crosses 17.7
0.7 Yellow Cards 2.5

Nürnberg vs Braunschweig Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nürnberg
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Braunschweig
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.30 xG 1.04
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
372 Passes 270
80% Pass Accuracy 71%
20 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
02.03.2024 Nürnberg Nürnberg 2-1 HT 2-0 Braunschweig Braunschweig AL2
23.09.2023 Braunschweig Braunschweig 2-2 HT 1-2 Nürnberg Nürnberg AL2
10.03.2023 Nürnberg Nürnberg 2-0 HT 0-0 Braunschweig Braunschweig AL2
02.09.2022 Braunschweig Braunschweig 4-2 HT 2-2 Nürnberg Nürnberg AL2
28.02.2021 Nürnberg Nürnberg 0-0 HT 0-0 Braunschweig Braunschweig AL2
31.10.2020 Braunschweig Braunschweig 3-2 HT 1-2 Nürnberg Nürnberg AL2

Nürnberg 1-0 Braunschweig — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nürnberg
1-0
AWAY Braunschweig
2.17 xG 0.38
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
499 Passes 342
87% Pass Accuracy 81%
42 Box Touches 13
16 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nürnberg vs Braunschweig
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nürnberg squeezed past Braunschweig 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Nürnberg as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nürnberg had 57% of the ball to Braunschweig's 43%, shots finished 17-8, expected goals 2.17 to 0.38 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Nürnberg's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Nürnberg and 1.67 for Braunschweig.

What was the final score of Nürnberg vs Braunschweig?

Nürnberg 1-0 Braunschweig in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nürnberg vs Braunschweig?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nürnberg win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Nürnberg 50%, draw 24%, Braunschweig 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nürnberg) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nürnberg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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