Newcastle Jets (K) 1-6 Brisbane Roar (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 21 Dec 2024

📅21/12/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.47
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
44%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
Over 2.5
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.46
No
43%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
21%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
37%
-6.4pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.3pp
43%
Away Win
39%
+4.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
64%
-7.3pp
43%
BTTS No
36%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newcastle Jets (K) EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Brisbane Roar (K) EU Bookmakers 43%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
2.00/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.08/1.40
+48% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -31%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
256 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 82%
29.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.8
23.1 Crosses 18.5
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newcastle Jets (K)
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Brisbane Roar (K)
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.39 xG 1.87
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 9
6 Corners 7
219 Passes 344
66% Pass Accuracy 76%
15 Box Touches 34
16 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
17.02.2024 Newcastle Jets (K) Newcastle Jets (K) 3-0 HT 1-0 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) AVUSTW
13.01.2024 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) 1-2 HT 0-0 Newcastle Jets (K) Newcastle Jets (K) AVUSTW
29.12.2019 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) 2-1 HT 1-1 Newcastle Jets (K) Newcastle Jets (K) AVUSTW
29.11.2018 Newcastle Jets (K) Newcastle Jets (K) 0-1 HT 0-0 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) AVUSTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Newcastle Jets (K)
1-6
AWAY Brisbane Roar (K)
2.31 xG 3.43
53% Ball Possession 47%
21 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 5
291 Passes 237
77% Pass Accuracy 70%
26 Box Touches 27
22 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Newcastle Jets (K) vs Brisbane Roar (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brisbane Roar (K) ran out comfortable winners over Newcastle Jets (K) 6-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Brisbane Roar (K) as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 6-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Newcastle Jets (K) had 53% of the ball to Brisbane Roar (K)'s 47%, shots finished 21-17, expected goals 2.31 to 3.43.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Newcastle Jets (K) and 1.00 for Brisbane Roar (K).

What was the final score of Newcastle Jets (K) vs Brisbane Roar (K)?

Newcastle Jets (K) 1-6 Brisbane Roar (K) in the Australia - W-League on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newcastle Jets (K) vs Brisbane Roar (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Brisbane Roar (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Newcastle Jets (K) 30%, draw 26%, Brisbane Roar (K) 43%. The final score 1-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brisbane Roar (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Brisbane Roar (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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