East Bengal 1-0 Jamshedpur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 21 Dec 2024

📅21/12/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
2.21
Over
54%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
57%
1.53
No
43%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1
20%
4.18
2-3
45%
1.82
4-5
22%
2.8
6+
13%
8.12
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
43%
-2.4pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.8pp
32%
Away Win
32%
-0.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
61%
-4.7pp
43%
BTTS No
39%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME East Bengal EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Jamshedpur EU Bookmakers 36%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -7%
1.25/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.27
-22% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +2%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
328 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 75%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
19.4 Crosses 16.6
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME East Bengal
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Jamshedpur
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.55 xG 1.29
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
272 Passes 216
75% Pass Accuracy 71%
24 Box Touches 28
17 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 2
05.10.2024 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur 2-0 HT 1-0 East Bengal East Bengal HİNSL
22.02.2024 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur 2-1 HT 0-1 East Bengal East Bengal HİNSL
24.01.2024 East Bengal East Bengal 2-0 HT 1-0 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur HINSK
25.09.2023 East Bengal East Bengal 0-0 HT 0-0 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur HİNSL
13.01.2023 East Bengal East Bengal 1-2 HT 1-0 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur HİNSL
27.11.2022 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur 1-3 HT 1-2 East Bengal East Bengal HİNSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME East Bengal
1-0
AWAY Jamshedpur
1.90 xG 0.57
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 6
270 Passes 270
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
32 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH East Bengal vs Jamshedpur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

East Bengal squeezed past Jamshedpur 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had East Bengal as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, East Bengal had 50% of the ball to Jamshedpur's 50%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 1.90 to 0.57 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold East Bengal's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jamshedpur led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for East Bengal and 1.17 for Jamshedpur.

What was the final score of East Bengal vs Jamshedpur?

East Bengal 1-0 Jamshedpur in the India - Super League on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for East Bengal vs Jamshedpur?

Before kick-off our model rated a East Bengal win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split East Bengal 41%, draw 27%, Jamshedpur 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (East Bengal) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (East Bengal) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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